Инд. авторы: Gusiakov V.K., Chubarov L.B., Beisel S.A.
Заглавие: Assessment of tsunami hazard due to regional and remote sources: the coast of the sea of okhotsk
Библ. ссылка: Gusiakov V.K., Chubarov L.B., Beisel S.A. Assessment of tsunami hazard due to regional and remote sources: the coast of the sea of okhotsk // Journal of Volcanology and Seismology. - 2015. - Vol.9. - Iss. 4. - P.276-288. - ISSN 0742-0463. - EISSN 1819-7108.
Внешние системы: DOI: 10.1134/S0742046315040041; РИНЦ: 23996833; SCOPUS: 2-s2.0-84938830372; WoS: 000359362700004;
Реферат: eng: The tsunami hazard for the coast of the Sea of Okhotsk requires a careful analysis, because this sea will be a zone of responsibility for the Tsunami Warning Service for the Far East coast of Russia. While it is not subject to such hazards on the part of seismogenic zones that can produce dangerous tsunamis, nevertheless the Sea of Okhotsk is open for penetration of tsunamis that can be produced by sources in other tsunamigenerating zones of the Kuril–Kamchatka region, as well as those of the entire Pacific Ocean. The tsunami hazard for the coast of the Sea of Okhotsk is examined here on the basis of historical observations and the results of numerical simulation for tsunami propagation from hypothetical rupture zones of near and distant earthquakes. It is shown that the real tsunami hazard can only emanate from those regional earthquakes with magnitudes 8.5 or greater that occur in the Kuril–Kamchatka seismogenic zone. Among the remote tsunamigenerating zones in the Pacific, the most dangerous locations are the rupture zones of mega-earthquakes of the class M9 that come from the South America zone and from Papua–New Guinea. These can produce water waves with amplitudes as great as 5 m along the entire coast of the Sea of Okhotsk.
Издано: 2015
Физ. характеристика: с.276-288
Цитирование: 1. Beisel, S.A., Gusiakov, V.K., Chubarov, L.B., et al., Numerical simulation of the impact of remote tsunamis on the Far East coast of Russia, Izvestiya RAN, Fizika Atmosfery i Okeana, 2014, vol. 50, no. 5, pp. 578–590. 2. Chubarov, L.B., Babailov, V.V., and Beisel, S.A., The MGC Program for Calculating Tsunami Waves Due to Earthquakes, Inventor's certificate for registration of programs for computers by the Federal Service of Intellectual Property, Patents and Trade Marks no. 2011614598. Registered at the Computer Program Register June 9, 2011. 3. GEBCO General Bathymetric Chart of the Oceans, 2008. http://www.gebco.net/data_and_products/gridded_ba thymetry_data/ 4. Gidrometeorologiya i gidrokhimiya morei (Hydrometeorology and Hydrochemistry of the Seas), vol. IX, Sea of Okhotsk, issue 1, Gidrometeorologicheskie usloviya (Hydrometeorological Conditions), St. Petersburg: Gidrometeoizdat, 1998. 5. Gusiakov, V.K., Residual displacements at the surface of an elastic half-space, in Uslovno-korrektnye zadachi matematicheskoi fiziki v interpretatsii geofizicheskikh nablyudenii (Constrained Well-Posed Problems of Mathematical Physics in Interpretation of Geophysical Observations), Novosibirsk: VTs SORAN, 1978, pp. 23–51. 6. Historical evidence on tsunamis in the Sea of Okhotsk, in Monograficheskii spravochnik. Proekt “Morya” Gidrometeorologiya i gidrokhimiya morei (Monographic Handbook, Project “Seas”, Hydrometeorology and Hydrochemistry of the Seas) vol. IX, Sea of Okhotsk, issue 1, Gidrometeorologicheskie usloviya (Hydrometeorological Conditions), St. Petersburg: Gidrometeoizdat, 1998, pp. 225–226. 7. Iida, K., Catalog of Tsunamis in Japan and Neighboring Countries, Special Report, Yashigasa, Aichi Institute of Technology, 1984. 8. Integrated Tsunami Database for the World Ocean (ITDB/WLD), 2000 BC to Present, CD-ROM, Tsunami Laboratory, ICMMG SDRAS, Novosibirsk. 2014. Web-version: http://tsun.sscc.ru/nh/tsunami.php 9. Kaistrenko, V.M., Shevchenko, G.V., and Ivel’skaya, T.N., Events due to the March 11, 2011 Tohoku tsunami on the Pacific coast of Russia, Seismicheskie Pribory, 2011, vol. 38, no. 1, pp. 41–64. 10. Kanamori, H., The energy release in great earthquakes, J. Geophys. Res., 1977, vol. 82, pp. 2981–2987. 11. Kim, Kh.S. and Rabinovich, A.B., Tsunamis on the northwestern coast of the Sea of Okhotsk, in Prirodnye katastrofy i stikhiinye bedstviya v Dal’nevostochnom regione (Natural Disasters in the Russian Far East), Vladivostok: DVNTs ANSSSR, 1990, vol. 1, pp. 206–218. 12. Kowalik, Z., Energy flux as a tool in locating tsunami secondary sources, Science of Tsunami Hazards, 2008, vol. 27, no. 3, pp. 1–29. 13. Krasheninnikov, S.P., Opisanie zemli Kamchatki (A Description of Kamchatka Land), vol. 1, St. Petersburg: Nauka, 1994. 14. Levin, B.V., Kaistrenko, V.M., Rybin, A.V., et al., The impact of the November 15, 2006 tsunami on the central Kuril Islands and simulation of run-up heights, Dokl. Akad. Nauk, 2008, vol. 419, no. 1, pp. 118–122. 15. Lobkovskii, L.I. and Baranov, B.V., On the excitation of tsunamis at subduction zones, in Protsessy vozbuzhdeniya i rasprostraneniya tsunami (Tsunami Excitation and Propagation), Moscow: IO ANSSSR, 1982, pp. 7–17. 16. Lobkovskii, L.I., Rabinovich, A.B., Kulikov, E.A., et al., The Kuril earthquakes and tsunamis of November 15, 2006 and January 13, 2007: Observations, analysis, and numerical modeling, Okeanologiya, 2009, vol. 49, no. 1, pp. 1–16. 17. Novyi katalog sil’nykh zemletryasenii na territorii SSSR s drevneishikh vremen do 1975 g. (A New Catalog of Large Earthquakes in the USSR Area from Earliest Times Until 1975), Moscow: Nauka, 1977. [Available as New Catalog of Strong Earthquakes in the USSR from Ancient Times through 1977, Report SE-31, N.V. Kondorskaya and N. V. Shebalin, Editors-in-Chief, Translated and Published by World Data Center A for Solid Earth Geophysics, EDIS, Boulder, Colorado, 1982.] 18. Okada, Y., Surface deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-space, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 1985, vol. 75, no. 4, pp. 1135–1154. 19. Savarenskii, E.F., Tishchenko, V.G., Svyatlovskii, A.E., et al., The November 4–5, 1952 tsunami, Byulleten’ Soveta po Seismologii ANSSSR, 1958, no. 4, pp. 36–37. 20. Shevchenko, G.V. and Ivel’skaya, T.N., Tsunami i drugie opasnye morskie yavleniya v portakh Dal’nevostochnogo regiona Rossii (po instrumental’nym izmereniyam) (Tsunamis and Other Hazardous Sea Occurrences in the Ports of the Russian Far East: Instrumental Measurements), Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk: FGBUN IMGiG DVO RAN, 2013. 21. Shevchenko, G.V., Ivel’skaya, T.N., and Kaistrenko, V.M., Tsunami na Kuril’skikh ostrovakh. Osobennosti proyavleniya i mery po snizheniyu riska (Tsunamis on the Kuril Islands: The Impact and Mitigation Measures), Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk: FGBUN IMGiG DVO RAN, 2012. 22. Shokin, Yu.I., Babailov, V.V., Beisel, S.A., et al., Mathematical modeling in application to regional tsunami warning systems operations, Comp. Science and High Perf. Computing III, Notes on Numerical Fluid Mechanics and Multidisciplinary Design, Krause, E., et al., Eds., 2008, vol. 101, pp. 52–68. 23. Solov’ev, S.L., Basic data on tsunamis on the USSR Pacific coast, 1937–1976, in Izuchenie tsunami v otkrytom okeane (Tsunami Studies in the Open Ocean), Moscow: Nauka, 1978, pp. 61–136. 24. The Chilean Tsunami of May 24, 1960. The Committee for Field Investigation of the Chilean Tsunami of 1960, The Committee, 1961. 25. Tikhii okean. Atlas okeanov (The Pacific Ocean. Atlas of the Oceans), Moscow: GUNiO MOSSSR, 1974. 26. Tyurnin, V.B., Tsunami v severnoi chasti Okhotskogo morya (Tsunamis in the Northern Sea of Okhotsk), FGBU Kolymskoe Upravlenie po Gidrometeorologii i Monitoringu Okruzhayushchei Sredy, 2014. http://www.meteo.magadan.ru/Meteo/tsunami.htm 27. Vazhenin, B.P., Printsipy, metody i rezul’taty paleoseismogeologicheskikh issledovanii na Severo-Vostoke Rossii (The Principles, Methods, and Results of Paleoseismogeological Studies in the Russian Northeast), Magadan: SVKNII DVO RAN, 2000. 28. Vazhenin, B.P., On the evaluation of tsunami hazards for the northern coast of the Sea of Okhotsk, in Nauka Severo-Vostoka Rossii—nachalo veka: Materialy Vserossiiskoi nauchnoi konferentsii, posvyashchennoi pamyati akademika K.V. Simakova i v chest' ego 70-letiya (The Science of the Russian Northeast—the Beginning of a Century: Proc. All-Russia Conference Devoted to the Memory of Academician K.V. Simakov and His 70th Anniversary), Magadan, April 26–28, 2005, Magadan: SVKNII DVO RAN, 2005, pp. 245–249. 29. Vazhenin, B.P., The Kuril volcanoes as sources of tsunamis in the northern Sea of Okhotsk, in Vulkanizm i geodinamika: Materialy III Vserossiiskogo simpoziuma po vulkanologii i paleovulkanologii (Volcanism and Geodynamics: Proc. III All-Russia symposium on Volcanology and Paleovolcanology), vol. 3, Ulan-Ude: Buryatskii Nauchnyi Tsentr SORAN, 2006, pp. 659–663. 30. Vazhenin, B.P., Problems in the study of tsunamis in the northern Sea of Okhotsk, in Problemy kompleksnogo geofizicheskogo monitoringa Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii. Trudy vtoroi regional’noi nauchno-tekhnicheskoi konferentsii (Problems in Multidisciplinary Geophysical Monitoring in the Russian Far East. Proceedings of the Second Regional Scientific Conference), October 11–17, 2009, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskii, PetropavlovskKamchatskii: GS RAN, 2010, pp. 312–317. 31. Vazhenin, B.P. and Lebedintsev, A.I., Offshore coastal landslides and their significance for earlier colonization of the northern Sea-of-Okhotsk coasts, in Neolit i paleometall severa Dal’nego Vostoka (The Neolith and Metals in the Northern Far East), Magadan: SVKNII DVO RAN, 2006, pp. 164–175. 32. Zayakin, Yu.A., Tsunami na Dal’nem Vostoke Rossii (Tsunamis in the Russian Far East), Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskii: KAMSHAT, 1996.